Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Regional supply base




By the end of the 1970s, US electronics firms were almost completely dependent
on Japanese competitors for the supply of the underlying component technologies
(for example tuners, picture tubes, recording heads, miniature motors) necessary
to produce consumer electronics products. In most cases, thoroughgoing
technology dependence was a first step toward market exit. US firms were far
enough removed from the technological state of the art to impede new product
development, and, as a result, their principal competitors could dictate the timeto-market, product cost, and feature quality. Under those circumstances, profits
were minimal if any were to be had at all. By 1980 most major US firms had
exited the consumer segment of the market, and the remaining players like GE
and RCA survived largely by putting their brands on Japanese OEM production.
A few years later, even RCA and GE, who had created most of the consumer
electronic technologies that Japanese firms perfected, left the business.

The loss of the high-volume demand of consumer electronics eroded the US
supply basefor the other segments of the electronics industry, and threatened them
with an equally, competitively constraining architecture of supply. The supply base
is the local capability to supply the component, machinery, materials, and control
technologies (e.g. software) and the associated know-how that producers use to
develop and manufacture products. The architecture of supply is the structure of
the markets and other organized interactions (such as joint development) through
which underlying technologies reach producers. In effect, US producers of
industrial electronics such as computers and communications were in danger of
becoming dependent on their Japanese competitors for memory chips, displays,
precision components, and a wealth of the other essential technologies and
associated manufacturing skills that went into electronic systems. The only
alternative to increasing dependence on a closed oligopoly of rivals was to make
the supply architecture more open and competitive. In conjunction with government policies and local private investors in Asia, US firms gradually turned
their Asian production networks into a flexible alternative to Japanese suppliers.

The transformation from affiliates based on low-cost labor to an alternative
supply base occurred in three stages: an initial stage from the late 1960s to late
1970s during which US firms established their presence through foreign direct
investments; a second stage in which their Asian affiliates developed extensive
local relationships in the shadow of the dollar appreciation from 1980–5; and a
third stage from the late 1980s through the early 1990s, when the technical
capabilities in their regional production networks were significantly upgraded and
local affiliates gained global product responsibilities. The US progression from
simple assembly affiliate to technologically able Asian production network
contrasts sharply with the development pattern of Japanese investments in the
region over the same time period. A brief review of key developments in each of
the three stages will highlight the differences.

After an earlier round of market access investments by a few large US MNCs
(notably IBM, GE, and RCA), most US electronics firms in the 1960s sought not
market access but cheap production locations in Asia. US investment was led by
US chipmakers, then consumer electronics and calculator producers, and finally,
toward the end of the 1970s, producers of industrial electronic systems like
computers and peripherals. Most of the US investments in this first stage
established local assembly affiliates. Cheap but disciplined Asian labor permitted US firms to compete on price at home and in Europe. Right from the start, then, the
Asian affiliates of US electronics firms were established as part of a multinational
production network to serve advanced country markets. Japanese investment was often turnkey, with knockdown kits exported from Japan for local final assembly and sale in the local affiliate’s domestic market. While the Japanese and US investments in this first stage were both oriented to simple assembly and superficially appear similar, the vastly different markets being served pulled their respective investments in divergent directions.

Consider the resulting logic of sunk investment for the two sets of firms. Because
their Asian affiliates were integrated into a production operation serving advanced
country markets, US firms upgraded their Asian investments in line with the pace
of development of the lead market being served, the US market. In essence, they
upgraded in line with US rather than local product cycles. By contrast, Japanese
firms were led to upgrade the technological capacities of their Asian investments
only at the slower pace necessary to serve lagging local markets. As local US
affiliates became more sophisticated through several rounds of reinvestment, a
division of labor premised on increasing local technical specialization developed
throughout the US firms’ global production operations. Local needs began to
diverge from those elsewhere in the United States and the overall operations and affiliates of firms were sought out, and, where necessary, local partners were
trained to meet them.

To be sure, the growth of local autonomy and relationships was constrained by
overall corporate strategies (e.g. where economies of scale dictated a global rather
than local sourcing arrangement), but over time US investments still led to greater
technology transfer and increasing technological capabilities for locals. By
contrast, stuck in developing market product cycles, offshore Japanese affiliates
benefited from no such incentives to upgrade and no need to develop local supply
relationships. Japanese firms served the domestic and US markets wholly from
home. Whatever their lagging Asian affiliates needed could be easily supplied from
Japan. As local Asian markets demanded the marginally more sophisticated goods
whose product cycles had already peaked in the advanced countries, the entire
production capability for those could also be transferred from Japan. Overall, less
technology was transferred, and even that remained locked up within the Japanese
firms’ more limited circle of relations.

Thus, during the second stage (1980–5) US-owned assembly platforms were
upgraded and enhanced technically to include more value-added, e.g. from
assembly to test in chips, from hand to automation assembly techniques, from
simple assembly of PCBs to more complex subsystems and final assembly in
industrial electronics. As they gained more autonomy, US affiliates began to
source more parts and components locally (a range of mechanical parts, monitors,
discrete chips, and power supplies). As US affiliates developed and as the US
industry exited the consumer segment, local electronics producers in places like
Taiwan began to concentrate more and more of their own investment (and their
government’s attentions) on industrial electronics. As these developments
occurred, the contour began to appear of an ever more elaborate and deepening
technical division of labor between US and Asian-based operations, bound
together in production networks serving US firms’ advanced country markets. In
essence, a new supply base was being created in Asia under the control of US and
local, but not Japanese capital.

Indeed, while Asia’s indigenous electronics capabilities (excluding Japan)
developed in close symbiosis with the strategies and activities of American
MNCs, they were driven by local private investment and supported by
government policies. Outside of Korea (where the chaeboldominated domestic
electronics development), resident ethnic Chinese investors played the principal,
private entrepreneurial role in the China circle, Singapore, and later in Malaysia,
Indonesia, and Thailand. During this period, in the NICs (and later in Southeast
Asia) governments provided a panoply of fiscal and tax incentives, invested
heavily in modern infrastructure, generic technology development, and the
technical upgrading of the work force, engaged in selective strategic trade
interventions, and in some cases, even provided market intelligence and product
development roadmaps. The aims were both to plug into the developing
multinational production networks in the region and to use them as a lever
toward autonomous capabilities. The result, by the end of the 1980s, was burgeoning indigenous electronics production throughout the region, with most
of it outside of Korea, under the control of overseas Chinese (OC) capital.



0 comments:

Post a Comment