During the
1990s two basic trends emerged in East Asia’s electronics industry. First, the
competitiveness of East Asian countries greatly improved; so that the region
now accounts for a large proportion of the total world trade in many
electronics sectors. Second, trade in electronic products within the
East Asian region accelerated markedly during the 1990s. Since the first half
of the 1980s there has been a sharp rise in intra-Asian trade and direct
investment in the industry, mirroring a broader process of market- and firm-led
regionalization.
Both
trends have been interpreted in terms of the so called “flying geese” or
“product cycle” model, in which Japan plays the role of the leading, innovative
country, and the East Asian NICs and other Asian economies follow as second and
third-tier countries on the ladder of comparative advantage. This article
provides another interpretation, based on the strengthening of the production
networks in East Asia that have been described in the preceding article. It
assesses trade patterns and the integration of the East Asian countries in
electronic products since the 1980s by using an original trade database and
taxonomy of trade flows in the electronics industry. The main purpose is to
show that production networks based on strong intra-regional interdependence
with respect to both inputs and sales have played a very significant role in
the overall competitiveness and intra-regional trade in the electronics
industry. These networks include those centered on Japanese firms, and also
partly competing, partly complementary networks involving firms from the United
States, the NICs, and even the ASEAN countries. The evolution of these networks
has consequences not only for economic relations within East Asia, but also for
the region’s economic ties to the other two major areas, the United States and
Europe.
The first
section begins with an outline of the taxonomy and database for trade flows in
the electronics industry and surveys the performance of the electronics
industries since the 1980s in the major countries of East Asia: Japan, the NICs
(Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore), the ASEAN countries (Indonesia, the
Philippines, Malaysia, and Thailand), and China. The second section evaluates
intra-regional trade patterns in East Asia, providing a detailed historical and
sectoral breakdown. The third section summarizes the aeticle’s main empirical
findings and gives an explanation for them. The final section includes some
concluding comments and prospects for the development of the East Asian region.
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